How Brainwaves Are Helping Predict the Next Big Hit Song

By Reginald, 20 June, 2023

Imagine if your brain could tell you what song you’ll love before you even know it yourself. Thanks to a new study, we might be closer to that reality than ever.

Researchers in the U.S. have found a way to predict chart-topping songs with almost perfect accuracy — by analyzing brain activity while people listen to music. The results are turning heads in both the science and music worlds, with a whopping 97% accuracy in identifying hit songs. That’s a huge leap from the old methods, which barely scratched 50%.

Your Brain Knows a Banger When It Hears One
Here’s how it works: A group of volunteers listened to a playlist of 24 songs while wearing sensors that measured their brain activity. These sensors tracked things like mood and energy responses — basically how excited or engaged someone felt while listening. This kind of study falls under a growing field called neuroforecasting, where researchers use brain data from a small group to make predictions about how the wider public will react.

The team, led by Professor Paul Zak at Claremont Graduate University, then used machine learning to analyze that brain data. After running multiple tests and models, they found that the neural responses of just 33 people could predict whether millions of others would turn a new song into a hit.

Even when they only looked at brain activity from the first minute of a song, the prediction accuracy stayed high — around 82%. That’s especially exciting for streaming platforms trying to sort through thousands of new tracks each day.

What This Could Mean for Music Fans
This technology could one day help services like Spotify or Apple Music quickly find the songs most likely to become popular — without waiting for weeks of listener data. Instead of endless scrolling through playlists, you might only be offered a few songs that perfectly match your taste, all based on your brain's real-time response.

Professor Zak says that if wearable brain-monitoring gadgets become more common, we could even see personalized music recommendations delivered instantly. Basically, your brain might do the choosing for you.

A Cool Idea, But Not Perfect Yet
Of course, this study has its limits. It only looked at a small number of songs and didn't include a wide variety of ages or backgrounds. So there's still more work to be done before this kind of prediction tool is ready for the real world.

But the researchers are optimistic. Zak believes this method could also be used beyond music — maybe for predicting the success of movies, TV shows, or other entertainment.

So next time a new song drops and you find yourself instantly vibing, don’t be surprised if it’s already on its way to the top of the charts — your brain might just be ahead of the game.

Source:
https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/artificial-intelligence/articles/1…
https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2012-06094-011

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